Cerebrovascular Disease: Decision Making Including Optimal Medical Therapy


Carotid Disease And Stroke

The management of symptomatic and asymptomatic carotid disease has been the subject of six randomized controlled trials (RCTs) comparing carotid endarterectomy (CEA) with optimal medical therapy (OMT), whereas 20 RCTs have compared CEA with either carotid angioplasty (CA) or carotid artery stenting (CAS). These 26 RCTs comprise the main evidence base for developing pragmatic decision-making in patients.

Decision Making In Symptomatic Patients

The definition of stroke and transient ischemic attack (TIA) has been detailed in Chapter 88 (Cerebrovascular Disease: Epidemiology and Natural History). Patients presenting with carotid territory symptoms, such as hemisensory/motor loss; higher cortical dysfunction (aphasia, dysphasia, visual field defect, visuospatial neglect) or monocular visual loss should undergo expedited investigation to identify the likeliest cause of their symptoms ( Ch. 91 , Cerebrovascular Disease: Diagnostic Evaluation). The keyword is “expedited,” as the highest risk period for recurrent stroke is the first 7–14 days after symptom onset. Accordingly, advice regarding risk factor control, OMT (everyone) and CEA/CAS (where needed) must be delivered as soon as possible.

Management Planning

Once a diagnosis of carotid territory TIA/ischemic stroke is established, three questions require addressing: (1) what risk factors require correction; (2) is the patient receiving OMT? and (3) is there any need for CEA/CAS?

What Risk Factors Need to Be Addressed?

Risk factors for stroke/TIA are non-modifiable and modifiable. The former includes increasing age, male sex, ethnicity and family history of stroke/TIA. Modifiable risk factors include: (i) lifestyle (smoking, alcohol intake, obesity, physical inactivity); (ii) hypertension; (iii) diabetes mellitus (DM); (iv) hyperlipidemia; (v) atrial fibrillation; (vi) carotid stenosis; (vii) structural cardiac abnormalities; and (viii) sickle cell disease.

Lifestyle: symptomatic and asymptomatic patients

Patients require advice on lifestyle modification regarding diet, exercise, smoking cessation and weight reduction. In a meta-analysis of 32 studies, smoking was associated with a significant increase in the risk of ischemic stroke (Relative Risk Increase [RRI] 1.9; 95% CI 1.7–2.2), while moderate/high physical activity was associated with a 25% relative risk reduction (RRR) in ischemic stroke. In a meta-analysis of 25 studies involving 2 million people, obesity was associated with a significant increase in stroke risk (RRI 1.64; 95% CI 1.36–1.99).

Is the Patient Receiving Optimal Medical Therapy?

Antiplatelet therapy

Because platelets are activated following TIA/ischemic stroke, antiplatelet agents play a key role in preventing recurrent events. The optimal antiplatelet regimen is determined by symptom status, stenosis severity, whether the patient requires CEA/CAS and whether the surgeon has a preference for performing CEA on antiplatelet monotherapy or combination therapy.

Aspirin Monotherapy

Most guidelines recommend aspirin monotherapy (100–325 mg daily) throughout the perioperative period, followed by 75–325 mg daily thereafter. The Aspirin and Carotid Endarterectomy (ACE) trial, showed that lower-dose aspirin (81–325 mg daily) was superior to higher doses (650–1300 mg daily) in reducing stroke/MI/death at 30 days in CEA patients (3.7% vs. 8.2%, P = 0.002). However, recent evidence suggests that antiplatelet monotherapy is less effective than combination therapy in many ischemic TIA/stroke patients.

Combination Antiplatelet Therapy

Three RCTs (CHANCE, POINT, FASTER ) randomized 10,447 patients <24 hours of minor ischemic stroke (NIHSS ≤3) 8–10 or “high-risk TIA” (ABCD score ≥4) , to aspirin monotherapy or short-term aspirin + clopidogrel combination therapy. A meta-analysis showed that, at 90 days, aspirin + clopidogrel significantly reduced nonfatal ischemic/hemorrhagic stroke, nonfatal ischemic stroke, moderate–severe functional disability and poor quality of life vs. aspirin alone.

A British Medical Journal Guideline Panel concluded that the evidence was robust enough to recommend prescribing aspirin + clopidogrel for 21 days, followed by clopidogrel monotherapy in patients presenting with acute, high-risk TIA/minor ischemic stroke. This was because most stroke prevention occurred in the first 10 days after symptom onset. Limiting combination therapy to 21 days reduced late bleeding complications. A number of guidelines now recommend aspirin + clopidogrel therapy for 21 days in patients with minor non-cardioembolic ischemic stroke who have not received intravenous tissue plasminogen activator, or for 21 days, or 21–30 days in patients with a high-risk TIA or minor ischemic stroke.

However, no guideline has advised surgeons regarding combination antiplatelet therapy in recently symptomatic patients with 50%–99% stenoses awaiting urgent CEA. This is mainly because they were excluded from CHANCE/POINT, in addition to concerns about increased perioperative bleeding complications with combination therapy. Accordingly, whilst there is good evidence supporting a 21-day prescription of aspirin + clopidogrel in patients with TIA/ischemic stroke without a 50%–99% stenosis, there is no RCT evidence that the balance of benefit vs. risk also favors combination therapy in patients with 50%–99% stenoses awaiting CEA.

Other evidence favoring combination therapy prior to CEA comes from a prospective audit, where there was a 48–72-hour delay between patients being seen in a TIA clinic and undergoing CEA. During this time, 13% experienced recurrent stroke/ TIAs. When a decision was made to start aspirin + clopidogrel in the TIA clinic (once CT/MRI excluded parenchymal hemorrhage), recurrent clinical events prior to CEA fell fivefold from 13% to 3%, in association with a fourfold reduction in spontaneous embolization on transcranial Doppler (TCD), from 21% to 5%. From the surgeon’s perspective, performing CEA in patients on aspirin + clopidogrel was not associated with significantly increased bleeding complications (3%). Similar observations were made by the Vascular Study Group of New England ( n = 5264), which reported that re-exploration for neck hematoma was 1.5% on no antiplatelet therapy, 1.2% on aspirin monotherapy, 0.7% on clopidogrel monotherapy and 1.4% on aspirin + clopidogrel combination therapy.

Accordingly, clinicians now face three clinical scenarios where early institution of combination antiplatelet therapy may be the preferred option — a patient with: (1) 0%–49% stenosis with no other cause for TIA/stroke on neurovascular work-up; (2) recent TIA/stroke and a 50%–99% stenosis, where CEA/CAS is not being considered; and (3) recent TIA/stroke and a 50%–99% stenosis where urgent CEA/CAS is planned.

Data extrapolation from “non-carotid stenosis” patients with TIA/minor stroke for scenarios 1 and 2 support a 300-mg loading dose of clopidogrel plus 162–325 mg of aspirin (see Chapter Algorithm). Patients then receive 75 mg clopidogrel daily and 162–325 mg aspirin daily from days 2–7, followed by 75 mg clopidogrel and 75–81 mg aspirin daily through days 8–21. The patient then reverts to long-term clopidogrel monotherapy (75 mg daily). In patients with 0%–49% stenosis, an alternative would be aspirin + dipyridamole, with dosages detailed in the Chapter Algorithm. Similarly, aspirin plus full-dose dipyridamole can be considered in patients with 50%–99% symptomatic stenoses (higher risk of recurrent stroke), where a decision has been made not to undergo CEA/CAS (see Chapter Algorithm).

In the third scenario, several options are available (see Chapter Algorithm). Whilst CHANCE, POINT and FASTER only included patients <24 hours of symptom onset, if the surgeon is happy to perform expedited CEA in patients prescribed aspirin + clopidogrel, it is reasonable to start combination therapy even if patients present >24 hours after TIA/minor stroke onset (especially the first 10 days) which is the highest risk period for recurrent stroke. Parenchymal hemorrhage should be excluded on CT/MRI and the patient should receive 300–325 mg aspirin, if not already on aspirin, followed by 75–81 mg aspirin daily in combination with 75 mg clopidogrel daily from day 1 (without a 300-mg loading dose). Expedited CEA, with careful control of postoperative BP, should be performed, as uncontrolled post-CEA hypertension increases the risk of hyperperfusion syndrome, intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) and neck hematoma formation. Aspirin can be stopped on day 1 after CEA and clopidogrel (75 mg daily) continued indefinitely, unless contraindicated.

If the surgeon is unwilling to perform CEA in patients prescribed aspirin + clopidogrel, an alternative would be 300–325 mg aspirin from day 1–14 and then reduce the long-term aspirin dose to 75–81 mg daily, in combination with dipyridamole MR 200 mg BD from day 1, following advice about potential side effects (see Chapter Algorithm). This regime was equally effective in reducing TCD-detected micro-emboli as aspirin + clopidogrel in patients with ≥50% symptomatic stenoses.

Antiplatelet Strategies Prior to CAS

CAS patients are prescribed combination antiplatelet therapy, mainly based on coronary stenting RCT data, but supported by one RCT involving 47 patients with 70%–99% carotid stenosis who underwent CAS (38 symptomatic, 9 asymptomatic).

Ticlopidine is rarely prescribed in TIA/stroke patients due to a less favorable adverse effect profile. Accordingly, it is reasonable to prescribe 300–325 mg aspirin daily for up to 14 days, followed by 75–81 mg daily, if not already taking aspirin. Clopidogrel (75 mg daily) is started 3 days prior to CAS, or as a 300-mg loading dose in urgent cases. Combination therapy should continue for at least 4 weeks post-CAS. Thereafter, patients revert to either aspirin or clopidogrel monotherapy. Long-term aspirin + clopidogrel therapy is rarely prescribed, unless for cardiac reasons, because the risks of long-term aspirin + clopidogrel combination therapy outweigh the benefits of monotherapy after TIA/ischemic stroke.

If intolerant of, or allergic to, aspirin and clopidogrel, 200 mg BD of dipyridamole monotherapy should be considered. It is also important to prescribe gastric protection with proton pump inhibitors that do not interact with clopidogrel (e.g., pantoprazole) in patients prescribed combination antiplatelet therapy to reduce gastrointestinal bleeding complications.

Assessment of Antiplatelet “High On-Treatment Platelet Reactivity” (HTPR)

A recent meta-analysis of pooled data from several platelet function testing platforms showed a higher risk of recurrent TIA/stroke, myocardial infarction (MI) or vascular death in TIA/ischemic stroke patients with vs. without “antiplatelet HTPR” (previously referred to as “antiplatelet resistance”) on any antiplatelet regimen (OR 2.93; 95% CI: 1.90–4.51).

Aspirin-HTPR has been reported in 23%–57% and clopidogrel-HTPR in 50%–75% of patients with 50%–99% asymptomatic carotid stenosis (ACS), with the prevalence being positively influenced by the shear-stress levels to which platelets are exposed in the platelet function testing platform. The prevalence of aspirin-HTPR can vary between 9.5% and 64% and the prevalence of clopidogrel-HTPR between 0% and 83% in patients with ≥50% symptomatic stenoses. However, no studies have been adequately powered to definitively determine whether ex vivo HTPR status predicts the risk of clinical events in asymptomatic or symptomatic patients in the perioperative or non-perioperative periods. Accordingly, evidence does not currently support routine alteration of antiplatelet therapy based on ex vivo antiplatelet-HTPR testing outside of research studies/clinical trials.

Combination Antiplatelet and Direct Oral Anticoagulant Therapy in Carotid Stenosis

There is interest in the potential benefits of combining antiplatelet therapy with low-dose direct oral anticoagulant (DOAC) therapy in patients with vascular disease. In the COMPASS trial, patients with coronary artery disease, peripheral arterial disease, or carotid disease (prior CEA/CAS or ≥50% ACS) were randomized to 100 mg aspirin monotherapy ( n = 9126), combination therapy with low-dose rivaroxaban (2.5 mg BD) and 100 mg aspirin daily ( n = 9152), or 5 mg BD of rivaroxaban monotherapy ( n = 9117). Patients were excluded if they suffered a non-lacunar ischemic stroke within 1 month of randomization or had a history of hemorrhagic or lacunar stroke.

Approximately 7% of COMPASS patients had a history of carotid disease. In this subgroup, there was no statistically significant benefit for combination therapy with low-dose rivaroxaban + aspirin, versus aspirin alone in preventing stroke, MI or cardiovascular death (HR 0.63; 95% CI: 0.38–1.05; P = 0.07). However, there was no significant increase in major bleeding risks (HR 1.18; 95% CI: 0.55–2.51; P = 0.67). There was also no benefit for rivaroxaban 5 mg BD vs. aspirin alone, in reducing major vascular events (HR 1.01; 95% CI: 0.65–1.56), but “higher-dose” rivaroxaban increased major bleeding risks (HR 2.34; 95% CI: 1.21–4.52; P = 0.009). Accordingly, there is no current evidence to recommend routine combination therapy with low-dose rivaroxaban and aspirin in carotid stenosis patients.

Lipid-lowering therapy

The Heart Protection Study included a subgroup of 3280 patients with cerebrovascular disease (TIA [46%], non-disabling ischemic stroke [63%], prior CEA [10%]). All had a baseline LDL-cholesterol >3.5 mmol/L, none were randomized <8 weeks of their TIA/stroke and the mean interval from symptom to randomization was 4 years. Simvastatin (40 mg daily) reduced the relative risk of major vascular events (stroke, non-fatal MI, death from coronary disease, and/or coronary or non-coronary revascularization) by 20%, compared with placebo ( P = 0.001) over a mean follow-up of 4.8 years. The reduction in ischemic stroke from 7.5% to 6.1% did not reach statistical significance (ARR 1.4%; RRR 19%; P = 0.1).

FASTER randomized 392 patients within 24 hours of TIA or ischemic stroke (NIHSS <3) to receive clopidogrel + aspirin, simvastatin + aspirin, clopidogrel + simvastatin + aspirin, or placebo + aspirin. The trial stopped prematurely due to slow recruitment and there was no significant difference in outcomes between those who were vs. were not taking simvastatin. SPARCL was the first RCT to show that atorvastatin (80 mg daily) reduced the relative risk of non-fatal or fatal stroke by 16%, compared with placebo, over approximately 5 years follow-up ( P = 0.03) in patients within 1–6 months of a non-cardioembolic TIA or ischemic stroke (MRS ≤3) and who had baseline LDL cholesterol (LDL-C) levels ≥2.6 mmol/L to <4.9 mmol/L (100 mg/dL to 190 mg/dL). In a subgroup analysis of SPARCL patients with carotid stenosis who did not undergo carotid revascularization <30 days of randomization (mean stenosis severity 51%; n = 1007), atorvastatin reduced the relative risk of fatal/non-fatal stroke by 33% (ARR 4.9%, P = 0.02).

Amarenco observed that treating patients with recent TIA/minor ischemic stroke with more aggressive lipid-lowering therapy to achieve a “lower LDL-C target” of <70 mg/dL (<1.8 mmol/L) versus a “higher LDL-C target” of 90–110–mg/dL (2.3–2.8 mmol/L), significantly reduced the incidence of major vascular events over a median follow-up of 3.5 years (8.5% vs. 10.9%, adjusted Hazard Ratio: 0.78; 95% CI: 0.61–0.98; p = 0.04). During the trial, 66% of patients in the lower-target LDL-C group and 94% in the higher-target LDL-C group received a statin only, whereas 33.8% and 5.8% of patients (respectively) also received ezetimibe (10 mg daily). Outcomes in patients with carotid stenosis have not been reported.

Current guidelines advise a target total cholesterol <3.5 mmol/L and LDL-C <1.8 mmol/L, or at least a 50% reduction in LDL-C vs. baseline. In keeping with guidelines in TIA/stroke patients overall, it is reasonable to add ezetimibe (10 mg daily) in patients with symptomatic carotid stenosis who do not reach these lipid targets on maximum doses or maximum tolerated doses of statins. , In the 2020 European Society for Cardiology/European Atherosclerosis Society guidelines on the management of dyslipidemia, it was recommended that the target LDL-C should be <1.4 mmol/L in patients with a symptomatic carotid stenosis in the presence of one or more additional “very-high-risk” cardiovascular risk factors (e.g., ischemic heart disease, peripheral arterial disease, type 2 DM with target organ damage or long-standing type 1 DM).

Whilst there is no clear guidance about the optimal timing for starting statins after TIA/stroke, it is important to begin statins before CEA/CAS, because this may reduce perioperative morbidity/mortality, via their pleiotropic effects in reducing inflammation, direct plaque stabilization and general reductions in inflammatory responses to surgery. In a meta-analysis of 6 studies ( n = 7503), those taking statins prior to CEA had significantly lower perioperative mortality, compared with statin-naive patients (OR 0.26; 95% CI 0.1–0.61). In a second meta-analysis (11 studies, n = 4088), patients taking statins prior to CAS had significantly lower perioperative mortality, compared with statin-naive patients (OR 0.30; 95% CI 0.10–0.96) and significantly lower procedural stroke risk (OR 0.39; 95% CI 0.27–0.58).

Antihypertensive therapy

No RCTs have compared one antihypertensive regimen against another in patients with symptomatic carotid stenosis. However, hypertension treatment is an essential component of secondary prevention following TIA/stroke. In 6105 stable, post-stroke patients in the PROGRESS trial, perindopril-based therapy (perindopril alone or combined with indapamide) reduced the relative risk of recurrent stroke by 28%, versus placebo (95% CI: 17%–38%; P <0.0001). Combination antihypertensive therapy reduced the risk of recurrent stroke by 43% (95% CI: 30%–54%) with a mean decrease in BP of 12/5 mm Hg. A recent Cochrane Review has shown that antihypertensive medication significantly reduced the relative risk of recurrent stroke by 24% in patients with a prior ischemic stroke (OR 0.76; 95% CI: 0.64–0.89).

Because a systolic BP >180 mm Hg is an independent predictor of stroke after CEA, it is reasonable to perform urgent CEA in patients whose preoperative BP is <180 mmHg. Symptomatic patients with a preoperative BP >180 mm Hg should probably receive urgent antihypertensive treatment before proceeding with CEA. Persisting or worsening hypertension after CEA should be actively treated postoperatively, in order to prevent hyperperfusion syndrome, ICH, bleeding complications and cardiac events in the early postoperative period. Data from TIA/stroke patients support the use of ACE inhibitors and thiazide diuretics, but other antihypertensive agents are acceptable. Contemporary guidelines recommend a target BP <130 mm Hg/<80 mm Hg in non-diabetic patients under 65 years of age, and <140 mm Hg/<80 mm Hg in non-diabetic patients ≥65 years old.

In selected patients with severe carotid stenosis with exhausted hemodynamic reserve who experience recurrent hemodynamic TIAs, despite optimal antithrombotic therapy, and who are not suitable for carotid revascularization, it would be reasonable to aim for higher systolic BP thresholds (e.g., systolic BP >140 to <160 mm Hg), in order to improve cerebral perfusion.

Treatment of diabetes mellitus

DM is a risk factor for carotid stenosis and DM patients in the North Manhattan study faced a doubling of stroke-risk. However, meta-analyses found no evidence that tight glycemic control reduced late stroke, but it did reduce other DM-related complications. The UK Prospective Diabetes Study observed that tight BP control (mean BP 144/82 mmHg) was associated with a 44% RRR in stroke (95% CI 11–65; P = 0.013), compared with patients who had less tight BP control (mean BP 154/87 mm Hg). In diabetic patients with a symptomatic carotid stenosis, a target systolic blood pressure <130 mm Hg (but not <120 mm Hg) and a target diastolic blood pressure <80 mm Hg (but not <70 mm Hg) is recommended in patients under 65 years of age. In diabetic patients ≥65 years of age, the target systolic blood pressure is 130–139 mm Hg, and target diastolic blood pressure is <80 mm Hg (but not <70 mm Hg).

Is There a Need for CEA/CAS?

Results of the symptomatic RCTs

Three RCTs ( n = 6081) compared CEA vs. OMT in patients with a carotid territory stroke/TIA in the preceding 6 months. These were the European Carotid Surgery Trial (ECST), the North American Symptomatic Carotid Endarterectomy Trial (NASCET) and the Veterans Affairs Administration Study (VA). Although somewhat historical (having reported 30 years ago), they continue to guide practice. Table 92.1 details 5-year risk of ipsilateral stroke (including 30-day death/stroke) in 6081 patients from an individual patient meta-analysis from ECST, NASCET and VA studies by the Carotid Endarterectomy Trialists Collaboration (CETC). The main findings were that CEA conferred no benefit (over OMT) in patients with <50% stenosis (NASCET method). In patients with 50%–69% stenosis, CEA conferred a small but significant benefit, while CEA conferred maximum benefit in those with 70%–99% stenosis.

TABLE 92.1
5-Year Risk of Ipsilateral Stroke (Including Perioperative Death/Stroke) in 6081 Patients Randomized within ECST, NASCET & VA Studies
Stenosis Severity n = 30-day CEA Risk 5-year risk ARR (%) ( P =) RRR (%) NNT Strokes Prevented Per 1000 CEAs
CEA BMT
<30% 1746 12.1% 9.8% −2.2% ( P = 0.05) nb nb 0 at 5 yrs
30%–49% 1429 6.7% 14.8% 18.1% +3.2% ( P = 0.6) 18% 38 32 at 5 yrs
50%–69% 1549 8.4% 13.6% 18.2% +4.6% ( P = 0.04) 25% 13 46 at 5 yrs
70%–99% 1095 6.2% 10.36% 26.2% +15.9% ( P <0.00001) 61% 6 159 at 5 yrs
“string sign” 262 5.4% 16.8% 15.2% −1.6% ( P = 0.9) nb nb 0 at 5 yrs

Data derived from CETC individual patient meta-analysis , with all pre-randomization angiograms remeasured using NASCET method. nb , no benefit conferred by CEA; ARR , Absolute Risk Reduction; RRR , Relative Risk Reduction; strokes prevented per 1000 CEAs , number of strokes prevented at five years by performing 1000 CEAs.

Based on these level 1 data, guidelines published since 1991 have advised that “CEA is recommended in patients reporting carotid territory symptoms within the preceding 6 months and who have a 70%–99% carotid stenosis, provided the procedural death/stroke rate is <6%” (Class 1, Level A). In addition, “CEA should be considered in patients reporting carotid territory symptoms within the preceding 6 months and who have a 50%–69% carotid stenosis, provided the procedural death/stroke rate is <6%” (Class 1, Level A).

Do all patients gain similar benefit from CEA?

Because >6000 patients were randomized within the RCTs, this has enabled meaningful subgroup analyses to be undertaken which can aid clinicians in making decisions about individual patients, especially if considered “unfit” for carotid interventions. Several clinical/imaging features are predictive of a greater (lower) risk of stroke in patients with 50%–99% stenosis treated medically.

Clinical Features

Increasing Age

In the past, increasing age (especially >80 years) was considered a relative contraindication to CEA. However, a meta-analysis of RCT data showed this to be flawed logic. The absolute risk reduction (ARR) in ipsilateral stroke at 5 years conferred by CEA in patients with 50%–99% stenosis was 5.6% in patients aged <65 years, 8.6% in patients aged 65–75 years, with the maximum benefit being observed in patients aged >75 years (ARR = 19.2%).

Amongst NASCET patients aged >75 years with 70%–99% stenosis, the ARR in ipsilateral stroke at 2 years was 28.9% (vs. 15.1% in patients aged 65–74 and 9.1% in patients aged <65). Within the NASCET cohort with symptomatic 50%–69% stenosis, the only subgroup in whom CEA conferred significant benefit were patients aged >75 years (ARR 17.3%). The number needed to treat (NNT) to prevent one stroke at 2 years was only 3 in >75-year-old patients with 70%–99% stenosis, versus 6 for similarly aged patients with 50%–69% stenosis. Of equal importance, there was no evidence that 30-day death/stroke after CEA increased with age (7.9% in patients aged <65 years; 5.5% in patients aged 65–74 and 5.2% in patients aged >75 years). Accordingly, increasing patient age is not a contraindication to CEA, unless there are other important comorbidities.

Patient Sex

In a CETC meta-analysis, CEA conferred greater benefit in males with 50%–99% stenoses (ARR = 11%), versus 2.8% in females. Female patients also rapidly lose benefit from CEA the longer the delay from symptom onset to undergoing CEA (see below).

Presenting Symptoms

In a CETC meta-analysis, the presenting symptom influenced outcome. The ARR in ipsilateral stroke at 5 years with CEA was 18% in patients presenting with a stroke, 15% following TIA and 5% for retinal ischemic symptoms. Some have questioned whether CEA is beneficial in patients presenting with lacunar stroke (usually attributed to intracranial small vessel disease), but NASCET found that CEA conferred a 9% ARR in ipsilateral stroke at 3 years in these patients.

Multiple Comorbidities

The issue of comorbidities often arises when deciding whether to treat symptomatic patients conservatively or with a carotid intervention. NASCET analyzed risks of late ipsilateral stroke, stratified for risk-factor burden, defined as: stroke at presentation, male sex, 80%–99% stenosis, systolic BP >160 mm Hg, diastolic BP >90 mm Hg, plaque ulceration, presenting symptom within 30 days or history of congestive cardiac failure, DM, smoking, claudication, MI, hypertension or hyperlipidaemia. In OMT patients, the 2-year risk of ipsilateral stroke was 17% in those with <5 factors, 23% with 6 factors and 39% in patients with 7+ risk factors. The number of risk factors had no influence on CEA outcomes (9% ipsilateral stroke at 2 years, irrespective of comorbidities). Accordingly, recently symptomatic patients should not be denied a carotid intervention on the basis of comorbidities. Each case should be considered on individual merits.

Should a Small Intracranial Aneurysm Affect Decision-Making?

About 3%–5% of symptomatic patients will have an incidental, small intracranial aneurysm and there has been concern that these aneurysms might increase early/late stroke risks after CEA. NASCET reported that 90/2885 patients (3.1%) had 99 intracranial aneurysms. The majority (83%) were <5 mm, with a 0.3% incidence of aneurysm >10 mm (usual threshold for neurosurgical /neuroradiological intervention). The 5-year risk of ipsilateral stroke in CEA patients was 10% with a non-repaired aneurysm, versus 14.8% in patients without an aneurysm. The 5-year risk of ipsilateral stroke in OMT patients was 22.7% with a non-repaired aneurysm, versus 22.5% in those without an aneurysm. The evidence, therefore, suggests that small intracranial aneurysms do not significantly increase risks of early/late stroke after CEA.

Recency of Symptoms

Most guidelines have adopted a 6-month threshold as being “recently symptomatic.” This permits substantial leeway regarding CEA timing, especially with an assumption amongst some surgeons that intervening early after symptom onset increases perioperative risks. The momentum for changing practice and intervening early after symptom onset was driven by a 2003 CETC meta-analysis of the benefit conferred by CEA, stratified for delays from randomization to CEA. , In reality, CEA was performed an average of 7 days after randomization (PM Rothwell, personal communication). Table 92.2 details the results of this meta-analysis stratified for delays to CEA, stenosis severity and patient sex. The benefit conferred by CEA was greatest the earlier CEA was performed. Greater benefit was also observed in patients with 70%–99%, versus 50%–69% stenosis. Males gained greater benefit than women (as delays increased) and after about 4–6 weeks, CEA may not confer significant benefit over OMT in female patients. However, RCTs randomizing women to early vs. late interventions have not been performed.

TABLE 92.2
5-Year ARR in Ipsilateral Carotid Territory Ischemic Stroke (Including the Perioperative Risk) Conferred by CEA in Patients with a NASCET 50%–69% and 70%–99% Stenosis, Stratified for Delay from Index Event to Randomization and Patient Sex
50%–69% Stenosis 70%–99% Stenosis
ALL PATIENTS ARR NNT Stroke/1000 ARR NNT Stroke/1000
<2 weeks 14.8% 7 148 23.0% 4 230
2–4 weeks 3.3% 30 33 15.9% 6 159
4–12 weeks 4.0% 25 40 7.9% 13 79
>12 weeks −2.9% nb nb 7.4% 14 74
Males
<2 weeks 15.2% 7 152 23.3% 4 233
2–4 weeks 6.8% 15 68 23.8% 4 238
4–12 weeks 5.0% 20 50 18.3% 5 183
>12 weeks 6.3% 16 63 20.4% 5 204
Females
<2 weeks 13.8% 7 138 41.7% 2 417
2–4 weeks −5.7% nb nb 6.6% 15 66
4–12 weeks −2.2% nb nb −2.2% nb nb
>12 weeks −21.7% nb nb −2.4% nb nb

Data derived from CETC , with pre-randomization angiograms remeasured using NASCET method. ARR , Absolute Risk Reduction (%); NNT , number of CEAs performed to prevent one stroke at 5 year; stroke/1000 , number of ipsilateral strokes prevented at 5 years by performing 1000 CEAs; nb , no benefit conferred by CEA.

Another important finding was that stroke risk in the first 7–14 days after symptom onset was higher than previously assumed. In a series of 549 patients who experienced their stroke after a TIA, 43% of strokes occurred within 7 days of the index TIA. In a CETC meta-analysis, the 5-year risk of ipsilateral stroke in OMT patients was 18% in patients with 50%–69% stenosis and 26% in patients with 70%–99% stenosis (see Table 92.1 ). However, data from natural history studies suggest that early stroke risk in patients with 50%–99% stenosis may be much higher, ranging from 5%–8% at 48 hours, 4%–17% at 72 hours, 8%–22% at 7 days and 11%–25% at 14 days ( Table 92.3 ). This suggests that many high-risk patients were not randomized within ECST/NASCET and the benefit conferred by intervening in the first 7–14 days after symptom onset might be even higher than previously thought. Finally, studies have reported high rates of stroke/TIA whilst awaiting CEA. In Blaser’s series, there was a 10% risk of TIA/stroke during a median 10-day period between investigation and CEA, whilst a Leicester study noted a 13% risk of TIA/stroke in the 48–72-hour period between being seen in a TIA clinic and undergoing CEA. Kastrup et al. also reported a 12% risk of new MR Diffusion Weighted Image lesions over a median of 7 days between investigation and CEA.

TABLE 92.3
Early Risk of Stroke in Patients Following a Transient Ischemic Attack Attributed to a 50%–99% Stenosis of their Ipsilateral Carotid Artery
48 hours 72 hours 7 days 14 days
Fairhead 2005 20%
Purroy 2007 10%
Ois 2009 17% 22% 25%
Bonifati 2011 8%
Johansson 2013 5% 8% 11%
Mono 2013 4%
Merwick 2013 8%
Marnane 2014 5% 9% 9% 16%

These data have driven a worldwide move towards performing CEA (CAS) as soon as possible after symptom onset, preferably within 7–14 days.

Timing of CEA After Disabling Stroke

There is much debate about the optimal timing of CEA (CAS) in patients with disabling stroke. This is because of concerns about hemorrhagic transformation of an ischemic infarct, which is associated with higher rates of disability and death. The 2017 ESVS carotid guidelines advise that revascularization should be deferred in patients with 50%–99% stenosis who experience a disabling stroke (Modified Rankin Score ≥3), where the area of infarction exceeds one third of the middle cerebral artery territory, or who have altered consciousness/drowsiness (Class I, Level C). When a decision has been made to perform CEA/CAS in these patients (after a suitable period of recovery), it is vital to actively manage post-CEA hypertension to prevent postoperative ICH.

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