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The following prerequisites are essential before patient selection in transcatheter aortic valve intervention (TAVI):
An accurate diagnosis of severe aortic stenosis (AS)
An indication for aortic valve intervention (i.e., severe symptomatic AS)
A constellation of clinical, anatomic, or other patient factors likely to favor the transcatheter approach (see Chapter 1 )
This chapter outlines an approach to comprehensive risk stratification and patient selection to enable informed heart team discussion as to whether TAVI could, and should, be performed. Reflecting the frequently complex decision making over the timing and nature of intervention in patients with AS, the importance of involving an appropriate breadth of experts via the multidisciplinary heart team has been exemplified in the pivotal TAVI trials and emphasized in contemporary practice guidelines (Class I recommendation from both American and European societies, Level of Evidence: C).
Incorporating the necessary expertise to permit this approach and involving patients and their relatives through shared decision making are intuitive gold standards for contemporary TAVI centers (see Chapter 2 ).
Comprehensive clinical assessment, including appraisal of important cardiovascular and noncardiovascular comorbidities, is essential to inform individualized risk/benefit analyses.
Frailty is a crucial determinant of outcome and should be assessed in an objective, reproducible manner.
Individual patient goals for treatment should be established with options tailored accordingly. Emphasis on improving quantity and quality of life is essential for the majority.
Currently available TAVI risk scores, although additive, lack the requisite discriminatory power for routine clinic decision making in isolation.
Integrated individual assessment discussed in a multidisciplinary heart team setting with full consideration of patient preferences remains the cornerstone of appropriate patient selection.
The key components of comprehensive assessment to guide patient selection in TAVI are summarized in Table 3.1 . As patient priorities may be varied and fluid, establishing individualized goals of care a priori is vital to inform heart team discussion and recommendations. For example, a patient relatively unimpeded by symptoms at baseline (e.g., New York Heart Association [NYHA] Functional Class II) may prioritize a reduction in mortality risk with the maintenance of an acceptable quality of life whereas, as previously characterized in elderly heart failure populations, patients chiefly limited by symptoms may place greatest value on functional improvement.
Key Steps | Essential Elements | Additional Details |
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Approach to Care | ||
Shared decision making |
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Establishing the Goals of Care | ||
Live longer, feel better |
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Initial Assessment | ||
AS symptoms and severity |
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Baseline clinical data |
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Major CV comorbidity |
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Major non-CV comorbidity |
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Functional Assessment | ||
Frailty and disability |
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Physical function |
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Cognitive function |
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Futility |
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Overall Procedural Risk | ||
Risk categories |
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Integrated Benefit Versus Risk of TAVI and Shared Decision Making | ||
No current indication for AVR |
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TAVI candidate with expected benefit > risk |
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Severe symptomatic AS but benefit < risk (futility) |
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Drawing from best practice first described in oncology settings, discussions around treatment should ideally take place with all options on the table, affording patients the opportunity to define their wishes in the event of an adverse outcome or for the end of life. In the minority of cases where TAVI may be considered futile and not recommended, it is important that appropriate care plans are enacted to avoid a feeling of abandonment in the patient, family, or caregivers.
Our ability to contrast predicted benefit with expected risk is central to informing treatment decisions in patients under consideration for TAVI. Clinical risk prediction models have the potential to inform the latter in an objective, reproducible manner. The ideal risk model should be well calibrated (predicted risk equates to observed risk); accurately distinguish patients with the outcome of interest ( discrimination, of which the concordance statistic [c-statistic] is an important measure); be externally validated; and, most crucially, be easily interpretable and suitable for integration into daily clinical practice.
Because TAVI was developed to offer a therapeutic option to patients with severe symptomatic AS of prohibitive or high operative risk, objective consideration of surgical risk has been a fundamental aspect of patient selection since its inception; it is used to guide pivotal clinical trial design and heart team discussions.
The most well-established surgical risk scores are detailed in Table 3.2 .
Risk Score | First Author, Year | n | Validation Population | Included Predictors | Predicted Outcomes | C-Statistic | Limitations/Comments |
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Additive EuroSCORE | Nashef, 1999 | 13,302 |
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Age, gender, COPD, extracardiac arteriopathy, neurologic dysfunction, previous cardiac surgery, serum creatinine, active endocarditis, critical preoperative state, unstable angina on IV nitrates, reduced LVEF, recent myocardial infarction, pulmonary hypertension, emergency operation, other than isolated coronary surgery, thoracic aorta surgery, surgery for postinfarct septal rupture | Early or operative mortality | 0.79 |
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Logistic EuroSCORE I | Roques, 2003 | 19,000 | EuroSCORE database | Logistic regression of the same risk factors included in the additive EuroSCORE | Early or operative mortality | 0.78 |
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Logistic EuroSCORE II | Nashef, 2012 | 22,381 | Updates included: use of creatinine clearance in addition to serum creatinine | Early or operative mortality | 0.81 |
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STS-PROM (part 2—isolated valve surgery) | O’Brien, 2009 | 109,759 | STS National Adult Cardiac Surgery Database (NCD) | Continually updated; 28 variables in latest version | Early mortality and postoperative complications * | 0.78 | Continually updated; latest version (2.81) includes frailty, previous radiation exposure, and liver disease |
* Predicted outcomes: operative mortality, permanent stroke, renal failure, prolonged ventilation (>24 hours), deep sternal wound infection, reoperation for any reason, a major morbidity or mortality composite endpoint, prolonged postoperative length of stay, and short postoperative length of stay. AVR, Aortic valve replacement; CABG, coronary artery bypass grafting; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; EuroSCORE, European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation; LVEF, left ventricular ejection fraction; STS-PROM, Society of Thoracic Surgeons’ Predicted Risk of Mortality score.
The Society of Thoracic Surgeons Predicted Risk of Mortality (STS-PROM) score and European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (EuroSCORE) II accurately distinguish between high and low short-term mortality in patients undergoing surgical aortic valve replacement ([SAVR], c-statistic 0.78–0.81; where 1.0 is a perfect model and 0.5 no better than a coin toss) and are recommended to aid surgical risk assessment and heart team discussion in practice guidelines across Europe and North America.
However, although extensively validated in surgical cohorts, STS-PROM and EuroSCORE were neither developed nor intended for use in older populations undergoing TAVI. Consequently, discriminative performance in this setting is limited, with a tendency to systematically overestimate procedural mortality (c-statistic 0.60–0.65).
The omission of key anatomic information (e.g., hostile chest, suitability for transfemoral access) and functional factors (e.g., frailty, cognitive function) and the inclusion of predictive variables for outcomes that are less relevant (e.g., sternal wound infection) are further key limitations in their use to inform TAVI risk.
The suboptimal performance of surgical scores in TAVI cohorts has stimulated a large body of work in the attempt to develop a risk model more suited for use in these patients. The most prominent examples are summarized in Table 3.3 .
First Author, Year | n | Population | Predictors | Outcome(s) | C-Statistic | Limitations/Comments |
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Arnold, 2014 [CR] | 2137 | PARTNER study cohort (USA) | Arrhythmia, serum creatinine, oxygen-dependent lung disease, diabetes, mean aortic valve gradient, Mini-Mental Status Examination, baseline KCCQ score | 6-month death or poor outcome (as per KCCQ) | 0.66 |
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Edwards, 2016 [CR] | 13,718 | STS/ACC TVT Registry | Age, eGFR, hemodialysis, NYHA Class IV, severe chronic lung disease, nontransfemoral access, procedural acuity | In-hospital mortality | 0.67 |
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Martin, 2018 [CR] | 6339 | UK-TAVI registry | Age, gender, BMI, eGFR, lung disease, extracardiac arteriopathy, arrhythmia, prior BAV, critical preoperative status, poor mobility, Katz score, pulmonary artery pressure, nonelective procedure, nontransfemoral access | 30-day mortality | 0.70 | Includes frailty variable (Katz score) |
Iung, 2014 [CR] | 3833 | France 2 Registry | Age ≥90 years, BMI <30 kg/m 2 , NYHA Class IV, pulmonary hypertension, critical hemodynamic state, ≥2 pulmonary edema presentations/year, respiratory insufficiency, dialysis, and nontransfemoral access | 30-day or in-hospital mortality | 0.67 | No inclusion of frailty or functional assessment |
Seiffert, 2014 [CR] | 845 | Hamburg, Bonn, Germany | BMI, eGFR, hemoglobin, pulmonary hypertension, low mean baseline transaortic gradient, LVEF < 45% | 1-year mortality | 0.66 |
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Capodanno, 2014 [CR] | 1871 | Italian OBSERVANT study cohort | eGFR, critical preoperative state, NYHA IV, pulmonary hypertension, diabetes, previous BAV, LVEF <40% | 30-day mortality | 0.73 | Performance attenuated in external validation cohorts: c-statistic 0.60 [CR] [CR] |
Schiller, 2017 [CR] | 18,054 | German Aortic Valve Registry–II * | Gender, BMI, NYHA Class IV, CCS Class III or IV angina, cardiogenic shock, CPR within 48 h, pulmonary hypertension, absence of sinus rhythm, ASA grade, LVEF <30%, coronary artery disease, endocarditis or sepsis, diabetes, peripheral arterial disease, high serum creatinine or hemodialysis, mechanical circulatory support, redo surgery | In-hospital mortality | 0.74 | Performance attenuated in external validation cohort: c-statistic 0.63 [CR] |
* Mixed surgical (isolated surgical aortic valve replacement) and TAVI registry. GAVS I was remodeled in 2017 to reflect the increasing proportion of TAVI.
The presence of background comorbid conditions (age, renal impairment, chronic lung disease) and features of cardiovascular disease severity (NYHA Class IV symptoms, impaired left ventricle [LV] function, pulmonary hypertension) is strikingly consistent.
Yet overall discriminatory performance is modest to date, with no score emerging into routine clinical use.
In particular, many of the models have not been widely tested or externally validated. Further, where undertaken, it is notable that performance (particularly discrimination, i.e., c-statistic) is frequently inferior in the validation cohort.
It is also notable that—with some exceptions—the majority do not incorporate measures of cognition (e.g., Mini-Mental State Examination [MMSE]) or functional ability/frailty, perhaps reflecting the incomplete collection or reporting of these variables in the data sets from which they were developed.
Τhe overwhelming focus on procedural mortality, as opposed to outcomes encompassing both clinical events and quality of life and function, is a further critical limitation of the present scores to inform discussions with the TAVI patient population (see later in this chapter).
An essential component to the evaluation of patients under consideration for TAVI is an assessment of frailty status. Although the subject of some ongoing debate, a practical definition of frailty is a multisystem syndrome that results in (1) reduced physiologic reserve and (2) increased vulnerability to stressors. Its importance to the recovery of patients undergoing TAVI is thus both intuitive and pivotal. Related to yet distinct from comorbidity, its presence demonstrably increases risk of poor outcomes and futility, and accordingly augments risk prediction in adjusted analyses. ,
Practice guidelines emphasize frailty evaluation as central to risk stratification and patient selection. However, routine assessment in the cardiovascular “real world” has perhaps been hampered by the lack of a universally accepted tool for diagnosis, and concerns, either founded or unfounded, over availability of appropriate expertise and the potential interruption to clinical workflow.
The subjective “eyeball test” is perhaps superficially attractive but is insufficient, with poor consistency between observers. An ideal objective assessment should encompass an appraisal of three key domains: (1) cognition, (2) mobility/physical function, and (3) nutritional status, yet be balanced with sufficient brevity for routine clinical use.
Table 3.4 summarizes selected key frailty assessment tools employed in TAVI populations and their association with important outcomes. Among them, the Essential Frailty Toolset (EFT, Fig. 3.1 ) may be particularly promising.
Risk Score | First Author, Year | Included Components | Predicted Outcomes After TAVI | Limitations/Comments |
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Katz ADL [CR] | Katz, 1970 | Dependence (0 points) or independence (1 point) in the following ADLs: bathing, dressing, toileting, transferring, continence, feeding (>6 = independent) | Katz index <6 predicts long term all-cause mortality |
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CSHA/Rockwood CFS | Rockwood, 2005 | 7-point descriptive incremental scale measure of frailty, with scoring based on clinical judgment; ranges from 1 (robust health) to 7 (complete functional dependence on others) | 30-day and 1 year mortality , | Includes functional abilities only |
Essential Frailty Toolset (EFT) | Four components: physical function through chair raises, cognition using MMSE, hemoglobin, and serum albumin | 30-day and 1-year mortality | Compared with six other frailty scores, the EFT showed the strongest association with 1-year mortality | |
Erasmus Frailty Score | Goudzwaard, 2019 | A composite including MMSE score, MUST score, grip strength, Katz index, and Lawton and Brody index | Delirium and 1-year mortality | Relatively small sample, wide confidence intervals a |
Fried [CR] | Fried, 2001 | 5 items, with at least 3 required to diagnose frailty: 5-m gait speed, grip strength, weight loss, exhaustion, and inactivity | 30-day and 1-year mortality | |
Fried + | Same items as Fried, plus cognition, assessed (MMSE) and mood (short-form geriatric depression scale) | 30-day and 1-year mortality | ||
SPPB | Guralnik, 1994 | 3 physical tests: gait speed, time to stand 5 times from a seated position without using arms, and ability to stand 10 s with the feet in tandem or side-by-side positions | 30-day and 1-year mortality | Only assesses lower-extremity muscle function |
Bern | Stortecky, 2012 | 6 components: gait speed, mobility, cognition, nutrition, ADL and IADL disability (Katz) | Functional decline at 6 months, 30-day and 1-year mortality | |
Columbia | Green, 2015 | 4 components: gait speed, grip strength, serum albumin, and Katz score | One-year mortality or poor outcome b , [CR] |
a Risk of delirium [OR 3.3 (95% CI 1.55–7.10), p = 0.002]. Risk of 1-year mortality [HR 2.1 (95% CI 1.01–4.52), p = 0.047].
b Poor outcome was defined as (1) death, (2) KCCQ <60, or (3) decrease of ≥10 points in the KCCQ score from baseline to 1 year.
Developed in a population of 1020 older adults undergoing aortic valve intervention (about two-thirds TAVI) the EFT proved the strongest discriminator of mortality (odds ratio [OR]: 3.72; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.54 to 5.45), and a composite of mortality/worsening disability (OR: 2.13; 95% CI: 1.57–2.87) compared with six other frailty indices.
The intuitive 5-point ordinal score is reached through assessment of cognition (MMSE), functional activity (chair raises within 15 seconds), anemia, and hypoalbuminemia.
A full MMSE or similar focused cognitive assessment may take 8 to 10 minutes to perform, although the shorter Mini-Cog is an accepted screening simplification. Here, patients are asked to recall three words after a distractive task, such as drawing a clock face. If all three words are recalled clinically significant cognitive impairment (i.e., MMSE <24 points) is exceedingly unlikely, similarly if only one or two are recalled but the drawn clock face is normal.
In addition to poorer long-term outcomes, impaired cognitive function is an established risk factor for postprocedure delirium, which is itself linked to prolonged length of stay, readmission, diminished likelihood of independent discharge, and increased mortality. Its presence should therefore prompt an awareness of these considerations and, where appropriate, the involvement of specialist expertise (e.g., an elder-care physician with an interest in perioperative care) to implement preemptive strategies for mitigation.
Ambulatory physical assessments provide further useful quantitative information on baseline function and, in the case of the 6-minute walk test, are independently associated with long-term mortality. Appropriate attention must be paid to the conditions in which the test is performed (e.g., avoiding inadvertent coaching) to avoid introducing bias. The outpatient setting is generally recommended for similar reasons. Whether techniques that examine function in free-living conditions (e.g., wearable sensors) can enhance the fidelity and accuracy of these assessments remains the subject of active ongoing research.
Of course, the emergence of a true consensus frailty metric among the broad range available will likely require further comparative studies. Consistency within an institution and adherence to the guiding principles of objective multisystem assessment, with recourse to appropriate specialist input in the case of concern or ambiguity, should therefore govern present practice.
The pivotal trials of the last decade established the transformative mortality, morbidity, and quality of life benefits offered by TAVI to patients with severe symptomatic AS across the surgical risk spectrum. And yet, there remains heterogeneity in individual outcome. Moreover, despite excellent periprocedural success (≈ 95%), failure to realize benefit from TAVI, so-called treatment “futility,” may occur in up to a third of patients, defined as (1) death within 6 to 12 months, despite a successful procedure, or (2) survival without symptomatic benefit (e.g., failure to improve ≥1 NYHA class or ≥1 Canadian Cardiovascular Society [CCS] class).
An appreciation of factors associated with suboptimal clinical outcomes is therefore vital to appraise the likelihood of treatment success, inform patient selection, identify modifiable preprocedure factors, and guide postprocedure management. The best characterized factors are outlined in Fig. 3.2 and discussed in detail later in this chapter.
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